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Adriese vs Campodarsego Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Group C - 32 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Adriese

PPG 0.87 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Campodarsego

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.8%0-115.6%0-29.5%0-33.9%0-4+1.6%1 1-010.7%1-113.0%1-28.0%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-04.5%2-15.5%2-23.3%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-01.2%3-11.5%3-20.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.3% — — —

Draw 29.5% — — —

Away win 45.2% — — —

Over 2.5 33.9% — — —

Over 3.5 15.4% — — —

BTTS 40.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 74%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob40.0%

A 45% / xG 0.8-1.2 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1✓ 15.6%

#2 1–1 13.0%

#3 0–0 12.8%

#4 1–0 10.7%

#5 0–2 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Adriese0.8

Campodarsego1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.9% · O3.5 PROB 15.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ADRIESE · PPG 0.87

CAMPODARSEGO · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.87), Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Adriese (H) 25.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Campodarsego (A) 45.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Adriese face Campodarsego in Italy - Serie D - Girone C on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Adriese a 25% chance, the draw 30% and Campodarsego 45%, so Campodarsego are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Adriese and 1.2 for Campodarsego (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Adriese are averaging 0.87 points per game versus 1.13 for Campodarsego. This match finished 0-1.

Adriese vs Campodarsego Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Match Preview & Prediction

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