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Switzerland - Challenge League Monday, May 11, 2026 18:15 
Neuchatel Xamax PPG 1.65 
Etoile Carouge PPG 1.24
Switzerland - Challenge League Monday, May 11, 2026 18:15 Neuchatel Xamax PPG 1.653-0 MISS
Etoile Carouge PPG 1.24Draw· -8.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 1.50 -9.8%
Over 3.5 38.3% Odds: 2.20 -15.7%
BTTS 58.6% Odds: 1.40 -18.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-2 ✘
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Neuchatel Xamax 1.70
Etoile Carouge 1.44
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -9.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -9.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.65) > Away AVERAGE (1.24)