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Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais Prediction— Switzerland - Challenge League

Regular Season - 36 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 18:15

Rapperswil

PPG 1.29 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Stade Nyonnais

PPG 0.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-17.0%0-23.6%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-011.2%1-111.6%1-26.0%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.3%2-19.6%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.1%3-15.3%3-22.8%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-13.2%4+-21.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.4% 54.1% 1.85 -4.9%

Draw 25.0% 26.0% 3.85 -2.3%

Away win 23.6% 30.8% 3.25 -14.0%

Over 2.5 52.3% 67.6% 1.48 -22.6%

Over 3.5 28.5% 45.5% 2.20 -22.4%

BTTS 52.6% 70.4% 1.42 -25.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 93%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 39%

ROI 38.5%

Bet Hit 92%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.6%

H 51% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1✓ 9.6%

#3 1–0 11.2%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 0–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rapperswil1.7

Stade Nyonnais1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.5%

Form & verdict PPG

RAPPERSWIL · PPG 1.29

STADE NYONNAIS · PPG 0.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.29) > Away POOR (0.53)

Win probability 1X2

Rapperswil (H) 51.4%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -4.9%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -2.3%

Stade Nyonnais (A) 23.6%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -14.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rapperswil face Stade Nyonnais in Switzerland - Challenge League on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rapperswil a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Stade Nyonnais 24%, so Rapperswil are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Rapperswil and 1.0 for Stade Nyonnais (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rapperswil are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 0.53 for Stade Nyonnais. This match finished 2-1.

Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais Prediction— Switzerland - Challenge League

Match Preview & Prediction

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