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Switzerland - Challenge League logo Switzerland flag Switzerland - Challenge League Regular Season - 35 Colovray Sports Centre· Nyon Monday, May 11, 2026 18:15
Stade Nyonnais logo Stade Nyonnais PPG 1.12
1-3 MISS
Lausanne Ouchy logo Lausanne Ouchy PPG 1.24
Home· +0.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.5%
Odds: 3.20 EV: +0.8%
Draw 26.4%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -4.6%
Away 42.1%
Odds: 1.95 EV: -17.9%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.53 -20.0%
Over 3.5 31.6% Odds: 2.25 -28.9%
BTTS 55.4% Odds: 1.44 -20.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-1
4th 0-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Stade Nyonnais
1.22
Lausanne Ouchy
1.61

Model Suggestion

BTTS -20.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -20.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+0.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.12), Away AVERAGE (1.24)

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