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Switzerland - Challenge League Friday, May 15, 2026 18:15 
Etoile Carouge PPG 1.06 
Bellinzona PPG 0.24
Switzerland - Challenge League Friday, May 15, 2026 18:15 Etoile Carouge PPG 1.062-2 MISS
Bellinzona PPG 0.24Away· -0.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.4% Odds: 1.50 -10.9%
Over 3.5 33.6% Odds: 2.30 -22.7%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.50 -18.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Etoile Carouge 1.87
Bellinzona 1.05
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -10.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -10.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.06) vs P(Home)=51.4%