Bellinzona vs Wil Prediction & Tips

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Switzerland - Challenge League Regular Season - 35 Stadio Comunale Bellinzona· Bellinzona Monday, May 11, 2026 18:15

Bellinzona PPG 1.06

2-4 MISS

Wil PPG 1.00

Home· +7.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.2%

Odds: 2.90 EV: +7.9%

Draw 27.0%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -9.8%

Away 35.8%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -19.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.85 -3.2%

Over 3.5 28.7% Odds: 3.00 -8.3%

BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.67 -8.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Bellinzona

1.33

Wil

1.38

Model SuggestionBTTS -8.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+7.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.00)