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Pohronie vs Považská Bystrica Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 2 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 15:00

Pohronie

PPG 1.87 · HOME

UPCOMING

Považská Bystrica

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.0% vs bookmaker-implied 56.5% — a clear edge.

+13.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-14.1%0-22.6%0-31.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-06.9%1-18.8%1-25.6%1-32.4%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.5%2-19.6%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.4%3-16.9%3-24.4%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-16.3%4+-24.0%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.8% 42.6% 2.35 +26.4%

Draw 22.4% 29.4% 3.40 -14.3%

Away win 23.8% 38.2% 2.62 -22.6%

Over 2.5 64.0% 56.5% 1.77 +13.3%

Over 3.5 42.8% 33.9% 2.95 +26.3%

BTTS 62.1% 62.5% 1.60 -0.6%

Home O1.5 60.1% 47.6% 2.10 +26.2%

Away O1.5 36.7% 43.5% 2.30 -15.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -45.5%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.1%

H 54% / xG 2.2-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 7.5%

#4 3–1 6.9%

#5 2–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pohronie2.2

Považská Bystrica1.3

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

POHRONIE · PPG 1.87

POVAŽSKÁ BYSTRICA · PPG 1.22

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.90 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Pohronie (H) 53.8%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV +26.4%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -14.3%

Považská Bystrica (A) 23.8%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -22.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pohronie face Považská Bystrica in Slovakia - 2. liga on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pohronie a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Považská Bystrica 24%, so Pohronie are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Pohronie and 1.3 for Považská Bystrica (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pohronie are averaging 1.87 points per game versus 1.22 for Považská Bystrica. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +58.9%.

Pohronie vs Považská Bystrica Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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