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Böljan vs Västra Frölunda Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland - 15 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 17:00

Böljan

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Västra Frölunda

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-17.0%0-26.2%0-33.7%0-4+2.4%1 1-05.7%1-110.2%1-29.0%1-35.4%1-4+3.6%2 2-04.2%2-17.5%2-26.6%2-33.9%2-4+2.6%3 3-02.0%3-13.6%3-23.2%3-31.9%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.8%4+-21.6%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% — — —

Draw 23.3% — — —

Away win 40.3% — — —

Over 2.5 63.6% — — —

Over 3.5 40.0% — — —

BTTS 62.1% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 35.4%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob62.1%

A 40% / xG 1.5-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Böljan1.5

Västra Frölunda1.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BÖLJAN · PPG 1.67

VÄSTRA FRÖLUNDA · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Böljan (H) 36.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Västra Frölunda (A) 40.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Böljan face Västra Frölunda in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Böljan a 36% chance, the draw 23% and Västra Frölunda 40%, so Västra Frölunda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Böljan and 1.8 for Västra Frölunda (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Böljan are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.83 for Västra Frölunda.

Böljan vs Västra Frölunda Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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