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Sestri Levante PPG 1.36 
Asti PPG 1.07
Sestri Levante vs Asti Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone A
Sestri Levante PPG 1.361-2 MISS
Asti PPG 1.07 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Sestri Levante face Asti in Italy - Serie D - Girone A on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sestri Levante a 70% chance, the draw 20% and Asti 10%, so Sestri Levante are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Sestri Levante and 0.6 for Asti (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sestri Levante are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.07 for Asti. This match finished 1-2.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
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Goals Markets
Over 2.5 48.2% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 26.5% Odds: — —
BTTS 39.4% Odds: — —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 3-0 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Sestri Levante 1.99
Asti 0.61
Model Suggestion
Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 27 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5/Under 37%
BTTS/No 37%
Score Hit 33%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
BALANCED 42%
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away AVERAGE (1.07)