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Yelimay Semey 2 vs Taraz Prediction— Kazakhstan - 1. Division

Regular Season - 15 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 12:00

Yelimay Semey 2

PPG 0.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Taraz

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.32 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-111.5%0-28.1%0-33.8%0-4+1.9%1 1-08.9%1-112.6%1-28.9%1-34.2%1-4+2.0%2 2-04.9%2-16.9%2-24.9%2-32.3%2-4+1.1%3 3-01.8%3-12.5%3-21.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% — — —

Draw 26.5% — — —

Away win 38.3% — — —

Over 2.5 50.2% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 41.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 21%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.5%

A 38% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 8.1%

#3 0–1 11.5%

#4 1–2 8.9%

#5 0–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yelimay Semey 21.1

Taraz1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

YELIMAY SEMEY 2 · PPG 0.67

TARAZ · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.32 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Yelimay Semey 2 (H) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Taraz (A) 38.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Yelimay Semey 2 face Taraz in Kazakhstan - 1. Division on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yelimay Semey 2 a 35% chance, the draw 27% and Taraz 38%, so Taraz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Yelimay Semey 2 and 1.4 for Taraz (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yelimay Semey 2 are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.57 for Taraz.

Yelimay Semey 2 vs Taraz Prediction— Kazakhstan - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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