Today / Kazakhstan - 1. Division / Aktobe Jas vs Sport Academy Kairat

Aktobe Jas vs Sport Academy Kairat Prediction— Kazakhstan - 1. Division

Regular Season - 15 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 13:00

Aktobe Jas

PPG 2.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sport Academy Kairat

PPG 2.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -2.71 for Away, form 2.17 vs 2.67

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-12.2%0-24.3%0-35.7%0-4+16.0%1 1-00.7%1-12.7%1-25.4%1-37.1%1-4+20.0%2 2-00.4%2-11.7%2-23.4%2-34.4%2-4+12.5%3 3-00.2%3-10.7%3-21.4%3-31.8%3-4+5.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.8%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.8% — — —

Draw 17.3% — — —

Away win 68.9% — — —

Over 2.5 79.6% — — —

Over 3.5 57.6% — — —

BTTS 64.5% — — —

Home O1.5 37.6% — — —

Away O1.5 84.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 79%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)4.0 BTTS prob64.5%

A 69% / xG 1.2-4.0 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.1%

#2 1–4 7.0%

#3 0–3 5.7%

#4 0–4 5.6%

#5 1–5 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Aktobe Jas1.2

Sport Academy Kairat4.0

COMBINED 5.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.6% · O3.5 PROB 57.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AKTOBE JAS · PPG 2.17

SPORT ACADEMY KAIRAT · PPG 2.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.71 for Away, form 2.17 vs 2.67

Win probability 1X2

Aktobe Jas (H) 13.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sport Academy Kairat (A) 68.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Aktobe Jas face Sport Academy Kairat in Kazakhstan - 1. Division on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aktobe Jas a 14% chance, the draw 17% and Sport Academy Kairat 69%, so Sport Academy Kairat are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Aktobe Jas and 4.0 for Sport Academy Kairat (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aktobe Jas are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 2.67 for Sport Academy Kairat.

Aktobe Jas vs Sport Academy Kairat Prediction— Kazakhstan - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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