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Turan Turkistan vs Tobol 2 Prediction— Kazakhstan - 1. Division

Regular Season - 15 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 15:00

Turan Turkistan

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tobol 2

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +3.01 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-10.9%0-20.3%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-04.5%1-13.2%1-21.1%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-08.4%2-15.9%2-22.0%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.4%3-17.2%3-22.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-025.2%4+-117.6%4+-26.2%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 74.1% — — —

Draw 17.0% — — —

Away win 8.9% — — —

Over 2.5 72.6% — — —

Over 3.5 52.0% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 77.5% — — —

Away O1.5 20.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.7 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob52.3%

H 74% / xG 3.7-0.7 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 10.4%

#2 4–0 9.6%

#3 2–0 8.4%

#4 3–1 7.2%

#5 5–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Turan Turkistan3.7

Tobol 20.7

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TURAN TURKISTAN · PPG 2.00

TOBOL 2 · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +3.01 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Turan Turkistan (H) 74.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tobol 2 (A) 8.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Turan Turkistan face Tobol 2 in Kazakhstan - 1. Division on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Turan Turkistan a 74% chance, the draw 17% and Tobol 2 9%, so Turan Turkistan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.7 for Turan Turkistan and 0.7 for Tobol 2 (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Turan Turkistan are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Tobol 2.

Turan Turkistan vs Tobol 2 Prediction— Kazakhstan - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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