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Pro Imperia vs Sanremese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone A

Group A - 32 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Pro Imperia

PPG 1.33 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

Sanremese

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.9%0-113.2%0-26.3%0-32.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.3%1-113.5%1-26.4%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.3%2-16.9%2-23.3%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.5%3-12.4%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% — — —

Draw 31.1% — — —

Away win 32.5% — — —

Over 2.5 31.5% — — —

Over 3.5 13.8% — — —

BTTS 39.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 37%

BTTS 37%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 53.7%

Bet Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob39.2%

D 31% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 32% / NoBTTS 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.3%

#2 0–0 13.9%

#3 1–1 13.5%

#4 0–1 13.2%

#5 2–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pro Imperia1.0

Sanremese0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 31.5% · O3.5 PROB 13.8%

Form & verdict PPG

PRO IMPERIA · PPG 1.33

SANREMESE · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Pro Imperia (H) 36.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sanremese (A) 32.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pro Imperia face Sanremese in Italy - Serie D - Girone A on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pro Imperia a 36% chance, the draw 31% and Sanremese 33%, so Pro Imperia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Pro Imperia and 0.9 for Sanremese (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pro Imperia are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.40 for Sanremese. This match finished 2-2.

Pro Imperia vs Sanremese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone A

Match Preview & Prediction

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