Today / Australia - NPL South Australia / Campbelltown City vs Adelaide City

Campbelltown City vs Adelaide City Prediction— Australia - NPL South Australia

Regular Season - 20 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 10:00

Campbelltown City

PPG 1.56 · HOME

UPCOMING

Adelaide City

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-110.9%0-28.2%0-34.1%0-4+2.2%1 1-08.1%1-112.2%1-29.2%1-34.6%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.5%2-16.8%2-25.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.7%3-12.5%3-21.9%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.6% 26.3% 3.80 +16.3%

Draw 27.1% 29.4% 3.40 -4.7%

Away win 42.3% 55.6% 1.80 -23.9%

Over 2.5 50.4% 60.6% 1.65 -16.8%

Over 3.5 28.9% 40.0% 2.50 -16.7%

BTTS 52.6% 63.7% 1.57 -17.4%

Home O1.5 32.6% 38.2% 2.62 -14.6%

Away O1.5 48.0% 61.7% 1.62 -22.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.6%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.5 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 0–0 7.3%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 0–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Campbelltown City1.1

Adelaide City1.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CAMPBELLTOWN CITY · PPG 1.56

ADELAIDE CITY · PPG 1.67

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.39 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Campbelltown City (H) 30.6%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +16.3%

Draw 27.1%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -4.7%

Adelaide City (A) 42.3%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -23.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Campbelltown City face Adelaide City in Australia - NPL South Australia on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Campbelltown City a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Adelaide City 42%, so Adelaide City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Campbelltown City and 1.5 for Adelaide City (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Campbelltown City are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.67 for Adelaide City. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +17.7%.

Campbelltown City vs Adelaide City Prediction— Australia - NPL South Australia

Match Preview & Prediction

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