Today / Australia - NPL Northern NSW / Cooks Hill United vs Broadmeadow Magic

Cooks Hill United vs Broadmeadow Magic Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW

Regular Season - 19 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 10:00

Cooks Hill United

PPG 1.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

Broadmeadow Magic

PPG 2.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 67.8% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-14.3%0-24.9%0-33.8%0-4+3.7%1 1-03.1%1-17.2%1-28.3%1-36.4%1-4+6.3%2 2-02.6%2-16.1%2-27.0%2-35.4%2-4+5.3%3 3-01.5%3-13.4%3-23.9%3-33.0%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.1%4+-22.4%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.7% 25.6% 3.90 +39.2%

Draw 21.6% 23.1% 4.33 -3.9%

Away win 42.7% 62.5% 1.60 -31.7%

Over 2.5 67.0% 69.4% 1.44 -3.5%

Over 3.5 44.8% 48.3% 2.07 -7.3%

BTTS 63.5% 68.5% 1.46 -7.3%

Home O1.5 49.4% 39.4% 2.54 +25.5%

Away O1.5 67.8% 69.0% 1.45 -1.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 8%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob63.5%

A 43% / xG 1.7-2.3 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.3%

#2 1–1 7.2%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 1–3 6.4%

#5 2–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cooks Hill United1.7

Broadmeadow Magic2.3

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

COOKS HILL UNITED · PPG 1.80

BROADMEADOW MAGIC · PPG 2.20

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.62 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Cooks Hill United (H) 35.7%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +39.2%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -3.9%

Broadmeadow Magic (A) 42.7%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -31.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cooks Hill United face Broadmeadow Magic in Australia - NPL Northern NSW on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cooks Hill United a 36% chance, the draw 22% and Broadmeadow Magic 43%, so Broadmeadow Magic are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Cooks Hill United and 2.3 for Broadmeadow Magic (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cooks Hill United are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 2.20 for Broadmeadow Magic. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +27.6%.

Cooks Hill United vs Broadmeadow Magic Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW

Match Preview & Prediction

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