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Edgeworth Eagles vs Hamilton Olympic Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW

Regular Season - 20 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 03:00

Edgeworth Eagles

PPG 2.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hamilton Olympic

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.8% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-14.5%0-23.5%0-31.8%0-4+1.0%1 1-05.8%1-19.0%1-27.0%1-33.6%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.7%2-18.9%2-26.9%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.7%3-15.8%3-24.6%3-32.4%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-14.5%4+-23.5%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.0% 54.6% 1.83 -8.5%

Draw 22.4% 26.7% 3.75 -9.6%

Away win 27.6% 30.3% 3.30 -5.3%

Over 2.5 64.8% 73.5% 1.36 -11.9%

Over 3.5 42.1% 53.2% 1.88 -20.8%

BTTS 63.9% 73.5% 1.36 -13.1%

Home O1.5 55.7% 67.1% 1.49 -17.0%

Away O1.5 49.0% 49.0% 2.04 -0.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 86%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 0%

ROI 19.3%

Bet Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.9%

H 50% / xG 2.0-1.6 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.0%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 3–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Edgeworth Eagles2.0

Hamilton Olympic1.6

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.8% · O3.5 PROB 42.1%

Form & verdict PPG

EDGEWORTH EAGLES · PPG 2.62

HAMILTON OLYMPIC · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.42 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Edgeworth Eagles (H) 50.0%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -8.5%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -9.6%

Hamilton Olympic (A) 27.6%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -5.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Edgeworth Eagles face Hamilton Olympic in Australia - NPL Northern NSW on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Edgeworth Eagles a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Hamilton Olympic 28%, so Edgeworth Eagles are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Edgeworth Eagles and 1.6 for Hamilton Olympic (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Edgeworth Eagles are averaging 2.62 points per game versus 1.22 for Hamilton Olympic.

Edgeworth Eagles vs Hamilton Olympic Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW

Match Preview & Prediction

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