Today / Australia - NPL Capital Territory / Brindabella vs Queanbeyan City

Brindabella vs Queanbeyan City Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Regular Season - 7 ·Wednesday, July 29, 2026, 09:30

Brindabella

PPG 0.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Queanbeyan City

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -2.55 for Away, form 0.43 vs 1.38

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-15.2%0-28.7%0-39.8%0-4+19.3%1 1-01.2%1-14.2%1-27.1%1-37.9%1-4+15.6%2 2-00.5%2-11.7%2-22.9%2-33.2%2-4+6.3%3 3-00.1%3-10.5%3-20.8%3-30.9%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.2% — — —

Draw 17.1% — — —

Away win 69.7% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 47.4% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 81.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 5.3%

Bet Hit 77%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 62%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)3.4 BTTS prob55.4%

A 70% / xG 0.8-3.4 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 9.8%

#2 0–2 8.7%

#3 0–4 8.2%

#4 1–3 7.9%

#5 1–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brindabella0.8

Queanbeyan City3.4

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 47.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BRINDABELLA · PPG 0.43

QUEANBEYAN CITY · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.55 for Away, form 0.43 vs 1.38

Win probability 1X2

Brindabella (H) 13.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Queanbeyan City (A) 69.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brindabella face Queanbeyan City in Australia - NPL Capital Territory on Wednesday, July 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brindabella a 13% chance, the draw 17% and Queanbeyan City 70%, so Queanbeyan City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Brindabella and 3.4 for Queanbeyan City (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brindabella are averaging 0.43 points per game versus 1.38 for Queanbeyan City.

Brindabella vs Queanbeyan City Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Match Preview & Prediction

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