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Talleres Córdoba Res. vs River Plate Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura - 1 ·Monday, July 27, 2026, 22:00

Talleres Córdoba Res.

PPG 1.11 · HOME

UPCOMING

River Plate Res.

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.24 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-18.7%0-25.2%0-32.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-010.5%1-112.4%1-27.3%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.5%2-18.8%2-25.2%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.6%3-14.2%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.0%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.0% — — —

Draw 25.4% — — —

Away win 28.6% — — —

Over 2.5 53.9% — — —

Over 3.5 32.8% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 46.3% — — —

Away O1.5 36.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -15.3%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.4%

H 46% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0 7.4%

#3 2–1 8.8%

#4 1–0 10.5%

#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Talleres Córdoba Res.1.4

River Plate Res.1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TALLERES CÓRDOBA RES. · PPG 1.11

RIVER PLATE RES. · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.24 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Talleres Córdoba Res. (H) 46.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

River Plate Res. (A) 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Talleres Córdoba Res. face River Plate Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Monday, July 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Talleres Córdoba Res. a 46% chance, the draw 25% and River Plate Res. 29%, so Talleres Córdoba Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Talleres Córdoba Res. and 1.2 for River Plate Res. (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Talleres Córdoba Res. are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 1.40 for River Plate Res..

Talleres Córdoba Res. vs River Plate Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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