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Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura - 2 ·Thursday, July 23, 2026, 18:00

Newell's Old Boys Res.

PPG 2.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2

PPG 0.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.67), Away POOR (0.44) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-12.8%0-20.6%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.9%1-16.4%1-21.4%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.2%2-17.4%2-21.6%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.3%3-15.7%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-013.2%4+-15.7%4+-21.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.8% — — —

Draw 18.3% — — —

Away win 9.9% — — —

Over 2.5 56.2% — — —

Over 3.5 34.9% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 62.2% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob46.4%

H 72% / xG 2.3-0.4 / O2.5 56% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 17.2%

#2 1–0 14.9%

#3 3–0 13.3%

#4 4–0 7.7%

#5 2–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Newell's Old Boys Res.2.3

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 20.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.2% · O3.5 PROB 34.9%

Form & verdict PPG

NEWELL'S OLD BOYS RES. · PPG 2.67

ESTUDIANTES RIO CUARTO 2 · PPG 0.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.67), Away POOR (0.44) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Newell's Old Boys Res. (H) 71.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 (A) 9.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Newell's Old Boys Res. face Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 in Argentina - Reserve League on Thursday, July 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Newell's Old Boys Res. a 72% chance, the draw 18% and Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 10%, so Newell's Old Boys Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Newell's Old Boys Res. and 0.4 for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Newell's Old Boys Res. are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 0.44 for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2.

Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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