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Lanús Res. vs Huracán Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura - 2 ·Thursday, July 23, 2026, 18:00

Lanús Res. logo
Lanús Res.
PPG 2.00 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Huracán Res. logo
Huracán Res.
PPG 1.22 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-15.3%0-23.2%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-08.4%1-110.2%1-26.2%1-32.5%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.1%2-19.7%2-25.9%2-32.4%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.1%3-16.2%3-23.8%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-14.6%4+-22.8%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 49.6%
Draw 23.0%
Away win 27.4%
Over 2.5 61.5%
Over 3.5 40.1%
BTTS 61.0%
Home O1.5 55.6%
Away O1.5 36.8%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.0%

H 50% / xG 1.9-1.2 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%
#2 2–1 9.7%
#3 2–0 8.1%
#4 1–0 8.4%
#5 3–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lanús Res.1.9
Huracán Res.1.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.5% · O3.5 PROB 40.1%

Form & verdict PPG

LANÚS RES. · PPG 2.00

HURACÁN RES. · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.22)

Win probability 1X2

Lanús Res. (H) 49.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Huracán Res. (A) 27.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lanús Res. face Huracán Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Thursday, July 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lanús Res. a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Huracán Res. 27%, so Lanús Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Lanús Res. and 1.2 for Huracán Res. (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lanús Res. are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.22 for Huracán Res..

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