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Independiente Riva. Res. vs Independiente Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura - 2 ·Thursday, July 23, 2026, 18:00

Independiente Riva. Res.

PPG 1.44 · HOME

UPCOMING

Independiente Res.

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away GOOD (1.56)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-18.9%0-26.8%0-33.5%0-4+1.9%1 1-07.6%1-111.7%1-29.0%1-34.6%1-4+2.5%2 2-05.0%2-17.7%2-25.9%2-33.0%2-4+1.6%3 3-02.2%3-13.4%3-22.6%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.5%4+-21.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.8% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 38.5% — — —

Over 2.5 53.8% — — —

Over 3.5 34.0% — — —

BTTS 55.9% — — —

Home O1.5 39.2% — — —

Away O1.5 48.9% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.9%

A 38% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 0–0 5.8%

#5 0–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Independiente Riva. Res.1.3

Independiente Res.1.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 34.0%

Form & verdict PPG

INDEPENDIENTE RIVA. RES. · PPG 1.44

INDEPENDIENTE RES. · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away GOOD (1.56)

Win probability 1X2

Independiente Riva. Res. (H) 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Independiente Res. (A) 38.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Independiente Riva. Res. face Independiente Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Thursday, July 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Independiente Riva. Res. a 37% chance, the draw 25% and Independiente Res. 39%, so Independiente Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Independiente Riva. Res. and 1.5 for Independiente Res. (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Independiente Riva. Res. are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.56 for Independiente Res..

Independiente Riva. Res. vs Independiente Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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