Today / Argentina - Reserve League / Racing Club Res. vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2

Racing Club Res. vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2 Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura - 2 ·Thursday, July 23, 2026, 18:00

Racing Club Res.

PPG 1.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gimnasia Mendoza 2

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.78) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.9%0-17.7%0-22.7%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-016.4%1-111.6%1-24.1%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.4%2-18.8%2-23.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.2%3-14.4%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-12.3%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.4% — — —

Draw 25.4% — — —

Away win 23.2% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 45.8% — — —

Away O1.5 20.7% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.4%

H 51% / xG 1.5-0.7 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.4%

#2 1–1 11.6%

#3 0–0 10.9%

#4 2–0 12.4%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing Club Res.1.5

Gimnasia Mendoza 20.7

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING CLUB RES. · PPG 1.78

GIMNASIA MENDOZA 2 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.78) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Racing Club Res. (H) 51.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 (A) 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing Club Res. face Gimnasia Mendoza 2 in Argentina - Reserve League on Thursday, July 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing Club Res. a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Gimnasia Mendoza 2 23%, so Racing Club Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Racing Club Res. and 0.7 for Gimnasia Mendoza 2 (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing Club Res. are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.00 for Gimnasia Mendoza 2.

Racing Club Res. vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2 Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Reserve League Predictions