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Eskilstuna U. W vs Pitea W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 10 ·Thursday, June 18, 2026, 14:00

Eskilstuna U. W

PPG 1.40 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Pitea W

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.8%0-116.1%0-27.8%0-32.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.8%1-113.3%1-26.4%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.7%2-15.5%2-22.6%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.6%3-11.5%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 32.1% 2.75 -11.7%

Draw 32.7% 3.10 +1.4%

Away win 35.2% 2.25 -20.8%

Over 2.5 37.4% 1.95 -27.1%

Over 3.5 18.6% 3.40 -22.1%

BTTS 48.0% 1.67 -19.8%

Win probability 1X2

Eskilstuna U. W (H) 32.1%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -11.7%

Draw 32.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +1.4%

Pitea W (A) 35.2%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -20.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.0%

D 33% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.8%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–1 16.1%

#4 1–0 13.8%

#5 0–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eskilstuna U. W0.8

Pitea W1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.4% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ESKILSTUNA U. W · PPG 1.40

PITEA W · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.40) vs Away GOOD (1.75)

Match Preview & Prediction

Eskilstuna U. W face Pitea W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Thursday, June 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eskilstuna U. W a 32% chance, the draw 33% and Pitea W 35%, so Pitea W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Eskilstuna U. W and 1.0 for Pitea W (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eskilstuna U. W are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.75 for Pitea W. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +1.4%. This match finished 2-0.

Eskilstuna U. W vs Pitea W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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