Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 / Odd II vs Våg
Odd II vs Våg Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4
Regular Season - 13 ·Monday, July 27, 2026, 16:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
League track record ↗
Based on 16 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
H 48% / xG 1.9-1.6 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.1%
Form & verdict
ODD II · PPG 0.80
VÅG · PPG 0.60
xG gap +0.27 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Odd II face Våg in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Monday, July 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odd II a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Våg 29%, so Odd II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Odd II and 1.6 for Våg (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odd II are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 0.60 for Våg.