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Haugesund B vs Flekkeroy Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:00

Haugesund B

PPG 1.00 · HOME

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Flekkeroy

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-15.6%0-26.5%0-35.0%0-4+5.0%1 1-03.4%1-17.8%1-29.1%1-37.0%1-4+7.1%2 2-02.4%2-15.5%2-26.4%2-35.0%2-4+5.0%3 3-01.1%3-12.6%3-23.0%3-32.3%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.2%4+-21.4%4+-31.1%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.8% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 51.1% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 44.7% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 41.1% — — —

Away O1.5 67.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-4

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob63.4%

A 51% / xG 1.4-2.3 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.1%

#2 1–1 7.8%

#3 1–3 7.0%

#4 0–2 6.5%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Haugesund B1.4

Flekkeroy2.3

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 44.7%

Form & verdict PPG

HAUGESUND B · PPG 1.00

FLEKKEROY · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Haugesund B (H) 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Flekkeroy (A) 51.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Haugesund B face Flekkeroy in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haugesund B a 28% chance, the draw 21% and Flekkeroy 51%, so Flekkeroy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Haugesund B and 2.3 for Flekkeroy (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haugesund B are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.25 for Flekkeroy. This match finished 3-4.

Haugesund B vs Flekkeroy Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

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