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Åkra vs Brodd Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 12:00

Åkra

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Brodd

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-13.5%0-23.7%0-32.5%0-4+2.1%1 1-03.4%1-17.1%1-27.3%1-35.1%1-4+4.2%2 2-03.4%2-17.1%2-27.3%2-35.0%2-4+4.2%3 3-02.3%3-14.7%3-24.9%3-33.4%3-4+2.8%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.7%4+-23.9%4+-32.7%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.2% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 39.2% — — —

Over 2.5 72.6% — — —

Over 3.5 49.7% — — —

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 55.7% — — —

Away O1.5 51.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob69.5%

A 39% / xG 2.0-2.1 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.1%

#2 1–2 7.3%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 7.1%

#5 1–3 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Åkra2.0

Brodd2.1

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.6% · O3.5 PROB 49.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ÅKRA · PPG 1.40

BRODD · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.07 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Åkra (H) 39.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Brodd (A) 39.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Åkra face Brodd in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Åkra a 39% chance, the draw 22% and Brodd 39%, so Åkra are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Åkra and 2.1 for Brodd (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Åkra are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.80 for Brodd.

Åkra vs Brodd Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

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