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Stabæk II vs Viking II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 14:00

Stabæk II

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Viking II

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-11.7%0-22.3%0-32.0%0-4+2.4%1 1-01.6%1-14.2%1-25.5%1-34.7%1-4+5.7%2 2-02.0%2-15.1%2-26.6%2-35.7%2-4+6.8%3 3-01.6%3-14.1%3-25.3%3-34.5%3-4+5.5%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-14.3%4+-25.6%4+-34.8%4+-4+5.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.6% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 41.1% — — —

Over 2.5 75.6% — — —

Over 3.5 53.4% — — —

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 61.8% — — —

Away O1.5 67.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob69.5%

A 41% / xG 2.4-2.6 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.6%

#2 2–3 5.7%

#3 1–2 5.5%

#4 3–2 5.3%

#5 2–1 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stabæk II2.4

Viking II2.6

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.6% · O3.5 PROB 53.4%

Form & verdict PPG

STABÆK II · PPG 1.50

VIKING II · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.18 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Stabæk II (H) 38.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Viking II (A) 41.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stabæk II face Viking II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stabæk II a 39% chance, the draw 20% and Viking II 41%, so Viking II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Stabæk II and 2.6 for Viking II (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stabæk II are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.67 for Viking II.

Stabæk II vs Viking II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 Predictions