Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 / Stabaek B vs Mandalskamerat.

Stabaek B vs Mandalskamerat. Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 12:00

Stabaek B

PPG 1.50 · HOME

8 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Mandalskamerat.

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 83.8% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a clear edge.

+35.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-11.9%0-23.1%0-33.4%0-4+6.3%1 1-01.1%1-13.6%1-25.8%1-36.3%1-4+11.8%2 2-01.0%2-13.3%2-25.5%2-36.0%2-4+11.2%3 3-00.6%3-12.1%3-23.4%3-33.8%3-4+7.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.5%4+-22.5%4+-32.7%4+-4+5.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 20.2% 46.5% 2.15 -33.9%

Draw 19.9% 24.4% 4.10 -11.1%

Away win 59.8% 40.8% 2.45 +46.5%

Over 2.5 72.8% 80.0% 1.25 -9.0%

Over 3.5 54.6% 61.7% 1.62 -11.6%

BTTS 65.9% 82.0% 1.22 -19.6%

Home O1.5 56.2% 67.6% 1.48 -16.8%

Away O1.5 83.8% 61.7% 1.62 +35.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 73%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 8-4

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)3.3 BTTS prob65.9%

A 60% / xG 1.9-3.3 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 6.3%

#2 2–3 6.0%

#3 1–2 5.8%

#4 2–2 5.5%

#5 1–4 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stabaek B1.9

Mandalskamerat.3.3

COMBINED 5.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.8% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

STABAEK B · PPG 1.50

MANDALSKAMERAT. · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Stabaek B (H) 20.2%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -33.9%

Draw 19.9%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -11.1%

Mandalskamerat. (A) 59.8%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +46.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stabaek B face Mandalskamerat. in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stabaek B a 20% chance, the draw 20% and Mandalskamerat. 60%, so Mandalskamerat. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Stabaek B and 3.3 for Mandalskamerat. (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stabaek B are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.33 for Mandalskamerat.. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +46.5%. This match finished 8-4.

Stabaek B vs Mandalskamerat. Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

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