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Hinna vs Vindbjart Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 13:00

Hinna

PPG 1.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Vindbjart

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.7% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-16.7%0-26.0%0-33.7%0-4+2.5%1 1-05.5%1-19.9%1-29.0%1-35.4%1-4+3.7%2 2-04.1%2-17.4%2-26.7%2-34.1%2-4+2.8%3 3-02.0%3-13.7%3-23.3%3-32.0%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.9%4+-21.7%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% 27.0% 3.70 +34.7%

Draw 23.6% 22.2% 4.50 +3.7%

Away win 40.1% 61.7% 1.62 -35.0%

Over 2.5 63.7% 78.1% 1.28 -18.5%

Over 3.5 40.0% 65.4% 1.53 -38.8%

BTTS 62.7% 78.7% 1.27 -20.4%

Home O1.5 46.3% 50.5% 1.98 -8.3%

Away O1.5 49.0% 76.9% 1.30 -36.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob62.7%

A 40% / xG 1.5-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.4%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 0–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hinna1.5

Vindbjart1.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HINNA · PPG 1.20

VINDBJART · PPG 1.50

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.32 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Hinna (H) 36.4%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV +34.7%

Draw 23.6%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +3.7%

Vindbjart (A) 40.1%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -35.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hinna face Vindbjart in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hinna a 36% chance, the draw 24% and Vindbjart 40%, so Vindbjart are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Hinna and 1.8 for Vindbjart (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hinna are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.50 for Vindbjart.

Hinna vs Vindbjart Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 Predictions