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Fyllingsdalen vs Åsane II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 13:00

Fyllingsdalen

PPG 0.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Åsane II

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-16.8%0-25.6%0-33.0%0-4+1.8%1 1-06.4%1-110.5%1-28.6%1-34.7%1-4+2.8%2 2-05.0%2-18.1%2-26.6%2-33.6%2-4+2.1%3 3-02.6%3-14.2%3-23.4%3-31.9%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.3%4+-21.9%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.5% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 34.7% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 40.0% — — —

BTTS 62.6% — — —

Home O1.5 46.4% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 91%

BTTS 91%

Score Hit 18%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob62.6%

A 35% / xG 1.5-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 8.1%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–0 4.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fyllingsdalen1.5

Åsane II1.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FYLLINGSDALEN · PPG 0.83

ÅSANE II · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.09 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Fyllingsdalen (H) 40.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Åsane II (A) 34.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fyllingsdalen face Åsane II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fyllingsdalen a 41% chance, the draw 25% and Åsane II 35%, so Fyllingsdalen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Fyllingsdalen and 1.6 for Åsane II (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fyllingsdalen are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 1.17 for Åsane II.

Fyllingsdalen vs Åsane II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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