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Stord vs Askøy Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 12:00

Stord

PPG 0.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Askøy

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.08 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-16.0%0-25.1%0-32.9%0-4+1.9%1 1-05.7%1-19.8%1-28.4%1-34.8%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.7%2-18.0%2-26.9%2-34.0%2-4+2.5%3 3-02.6%3-14.4%3-23.8%3-32.2%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.6%4+-22.2%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.0% — — —

Draw 22.8% — — —

Away win 35.1% — — —

Over 2.5 64.2% — — —

Over 3.5 42.1% — — —

BTTS 64.5% — — —

Home O1.5 53.5% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 91%

BTTS 91%

Score Hit 18%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob64.5%

A 35% / xG 1.6-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 0–2 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stord1.6

Askøy1.7

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 42.1%

Form & verdict PPG

STORD · PPG 0.67

ASKØY · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.08 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Stord (H) 42.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Askøy (A) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stord face Askøy in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stord a 42% chance, the draw 23% and Askøy 35%, so Stord are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Stord and 1.7 for Askøy (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stord are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.83 for Askøy.

Stord vs Askøy Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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