Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 / Fana vs Djerv

Fana vs Djerv Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 12:00

Fana

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Djerv

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.06 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-15.2%0-24.5%0-32.6%0-4+1.6%1 1-05.4%1-19.3%1-28.0%1-34.6%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.8%2-18.2%2-27.1%2-34.0%2-4+2.6%3 3-02.8%3-14.9%3-24.2%3-32.4%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-13.2%4+-22.8%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.5% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 33.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 42.1% — — —

BTTS 64.3% — — —

Home O1.5 53.5% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 91%

BTTS 91%

Score Hit 18%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob64.3%

H 44% / xG 1.8-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 8.2%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fana1.8

Djerv1.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 42.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FANA · PPG 1.67

DJERV · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.06 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Fana (H) 44.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Djerv (A) 33.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fana face Djerv in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fana a 45% chance, the draw 22% and Djerv 34%, so Fana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Fana and 1.7 for Djerv (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fana are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.50 for Djerv.

Fana vs Djerv Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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