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Gneist vs Sogndal B Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Regular Season - 9 ·Monday, June 1, 2026, 16:30

Gneist

PPG 1.50 · HOME

4 – 6

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Sogndal B

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.5%0-21.3%0-32.0%0-4+10.1%1 1-00.2%1-11.0%1-22.5%1-34.0%1-4+19.8%2 2-00.2%2-11.0%2-22.4%2-34.0%2-4+19.5%3 3-00.1%3-10.6%3-21.6%3-32.6%3-4+12.8%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.5%4+-21.2%4+-32.0%4+-4+9.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.4% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 66.2% — — —

Over 2.5 80.0% — — —

Over 3.5 69.0% — — —

BTTS 65.9% — — —

Home O1.5 58.5% — — —

Away O1.5 95.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 91%

BTTS 91%

Score Hit 18%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-6

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)4.9 BTTS prob65.9%

A 66% / xG 2.0-4.9 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–4 4.9%

#2 2–4 4.8%

#3 1–5 4.8%

#4 2–5 4.7%

#5 1–3 4.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gneist2.0

Sogndal B4.9

COMBINED 6.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.0% · O3.5 PROB 69.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GNEIST · PPG 1.50

SOGNDAL B · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Gneist (H) 13.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sogndal B (A) 66.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gneist face Sogndal B in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Monday, June 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gneist a 13% chance, the draw 20% and Sogndal B 66%, so Sogndal B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Gneist and 4.9 for Sogndal B (6.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-4. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gneist are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.25 for Sogndal B. This match finished 4-6.

Gneist vs Sogndal B Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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