Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 / OS vs Austevoll

OS vs Austevoll Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 17:00

OS logo
OS
PPG 3.00 · HOME
4 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5
Austevoll logo
Austevoll
PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away AVERAGE (1.25) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.0%0-10.0%0-20.0%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.1%1-10.2%1-20.2%1-30.2%1-4+0.1%2 2-00.3%2-10.6%2-20.7%2-30.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-00.6%3-11.3%3-21.5%3-31.2%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-09.2%4+-121.0%4+-224.1%4+-318.4%4+-4+18.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 70.1%
Draw 20.1%
Away win 9.7%
Over 2.5 92.1%
Over 3.5 75.0%
BTTS 65.9%
Home O1.5 99.1%
Away O1.5 66.8%

League track record

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%
O2.5 91%
BTTS 91%
Score Hit 18%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 4-2
xG (home)6.8 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob65.9%

H 70% / xG 6.8-2.3 / O2.5 92% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–2 3.6%
#2 5–1 3.1%
#3 5–3 2.7%
#4 4–2 2.6%
#5 4–1 2.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

OS6.8
Austevoll2.3

COMBINED 9.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 92.1% · O3.5 PROB 75.0%

Form & verdict PPG

OS · PPG 3.00

AUSTEVOLL · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away AVERAGE (1.25) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

OS (H) 70.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Austevoll (A) 9.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

OS face Austevoll in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives OS a 70% chance, the draw 20% and Austevoll 10%, so OS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 6.8 for OS and 2.3 for Austevoll (9.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-2. There is a 92% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, OS are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.25 for Austevoll. This match finished 4-2.

PredictVantage

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