Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 / Djerv vs Varegg

Djerv vs Varegg Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 12:00

Djerv

PPG 1.25 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Varegg

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-13.2%0-21.4%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.6%1-17.8%1-23.5%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.5%2-19.5%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.5%3-17.7%3-23.5%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-09.4%4+-18.5%4+-23.8%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.2% — — —

Draw 20.0% — — —

Away win 18.7% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.5% — — —

BTTS 55.3% — — —

Home O1.5 70.2% — — —

Away O1.5 23.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 91%

BTTS 91%

Score Hit 18%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.3%

H 61% / xG 2.4-0.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.5%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–1 7.8%

#4 3–0 8.5%

#5 3–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Djerv2.4

Varegg0.9

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DJERV · PPG 1.25

VAREGG · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Djerv (H) 61.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Varegg (A) 18.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Djerv face Varegg in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Djerv a 61% chance, the draw 20% and Varegg 19%, so Djerv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Djerv and 0.9 for Varegg (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Djerv are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.00 for Varegg. This match finished 3-2.

Djerv vs Varegg Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 Predictions