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Stord vs Fyllingsdalen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 12:00

Stord

PPG 0.50 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Fyllingsdalen

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.5%0-20.5%0-30.3%0-4+0.2%1 1-01.0%1-11.9%1-21.9%1-31.2%1-4+0.9%2 2-02.0%2-14.0%2-23.8%2-32.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-02.8%3-15.4%3-25.2%3-33.4%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-08.3%4+-116.1%4+-215.7%4+-310.1%4+-4+7.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.9% — — —

Draw 19.4% — — —

Away win 19.8% — — —

Over 2.5 80.0% — — —

Over 3.5 69.0% — — —

BTTS 65.9% — — —

Home O1.5 91.3% — — —

Away O1.5 57.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 91%

BTTS 91%

Score Hit 18%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)4.1 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob65.9%

H 61% / xG 4.1-1.9 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 5.4%

#2 3–1 5.4%

#3 4–2 5.3%

#4 3–2 5.2%

#5 5–1 4.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stord4.1

Fyllingsdalen1.9

COMBINED 6.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.0% · O3.5 PROB 69.0%

Form & verdict PPG

STORD · PPG 0.50

FYLLINGSDALEN · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Stord (H) 60.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fyllingsdalen (A) 19.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stord face Fyllingsdalen in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stord a 61% chance, the draw 19% and Fyllingsdalen 20%, so Stord are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.1 for Stord and 1.9 for Fyllingsdalen (6.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stord are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.00 for Fyllingsdalen. This match finished 2-2.

Stord vs Fyllingsdalen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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