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Førde vs Austevoll Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 11:00

Førde

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Austevoll

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-12.3%0-22.2%0-31.4%0-4+1.0%1 1-03.1%1-15.9%1-25.5%1-33.4%1-4+2.5%2 2-03.9%2-17.4%2-26.9%2-34.3%2-4+3.1%3 3-03.3%3-16.2%3-25.8%3-33.6%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-17.0%4+-26.6%4+-34.1%4+-4+3.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.5% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 27.6% — — —

Over 2.5 72.6% — — —

Over 3.5 52.0% — — —

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 63.3% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 91%

BTTS 91%

Score Hit 18%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob69.5%

H 50% / xG 2.5-1.9 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.4%

#2 2–2 6.9%

#3 1–1 5.9%

#4 3–1 6.2%

#5 3–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Førde2.5

Austevoll1.9

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FØRDE · PPG 2.00

AUSTEVOLL · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.63 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Førde (H) 50.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Austevoll (A) 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Førde face Austevoll in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Førde a 51% chance, the draw 22% and Austevoll 28%, so Førde are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Førde and 1.9 for Austevoll (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Førde are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.33 for Austevoll.

Førde vs Austevoll Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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