Today / Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg / Vorwarts-Wacker vs Curslack-N.

Vorwarts-Wacker vs Curslack-N. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Hamburg - 31 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Vorwarts-Wacker logo
Vorwarts-Wacker
PPG 1.57 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Curslack-N. logo
Curslack-N.
PPG 0.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 6.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.3%0-20.3%0-30.3%0-4+0.2%1 1-00.6%1-11.4%1-21.5%1-31.1%1-4+1.1%2 2-01.3%2-12.9%2-23.3%2-32.4%2-4+2.3%3 3-01.9%3-14.2%3-24.7%3-33.5%3-4+3.3%4+ 4+-06.7%4+-115.0%4+-216.8%4+-312.5%4+-4+11.8%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 73.1%
Draw 12.0%
Away win 14.9%
Over 2.5 95.9%
Over 3.5 89.3%
BTTS 88.2%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%
O2.5 73%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)4.3 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob88.2%

H 73% / xG 4.3-2.2 / O2.5 96% / BTTS 88%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–2 5.1%
#2 3–2 4.7%
#3 4–1 4.6%
#4 5–2 4.5%
#5 3–1 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vorwarts-Wacker4.3
Curslack-N.2.2

COMBINED 6.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 95.9% · O3.5 PROB 89.3%

Form & verdict PPG

VORWARTS-WACKER · PPG 1.57

CURSLACK-N. · PPG 0.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.57), Away POOR (0.07) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Vorwarts-Wacker (H) 73.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 12.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Curslack-N. (A) 14.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vorwarts-Wacker face Curslack-N. in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vorwarts-Wacker a 73% chance, the draw 12% and Curslack-N. 15%, so Vorwarts-Wacker are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.3 for Vorwarts-Wacker and 2.2 for Curslack-N. (6.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-2. There is a 96% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 88% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vorwarts-Wacker are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 0.07 for Curslack-N.. This match finished 0-0.

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