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Sasel vs Dassendorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Hamburg - 31 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 14:00

Sasel

PPG 1.87 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Dassendorf

PPG 1.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 8.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.0%0-10.2%0-20.7%0-31.5%0-4+22.0%1 1-00.0%1-10.3%1-21.0%1-32.1%1-4+31.0%2 2-00.0%2-10.2%2-20.7%2-31.5%2-4+21.9%3 3-00.0%3-10.1%3-20.3%3-30.7%3-4+10.3%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+4.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 1.4% — — —

Draw 2.5% — — —

Away win 96.1% — — —

Over 2.5 98.7% — — —

Over 3.5 96.1% — — —

BTTS 75.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)6.7 BTTS prob75.5%

A 96% / xG 1.4-6.7 / O2.5 99% / BTTS 76%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–5 4.8%

#2 1–4 3.6%

#3 0–5 3.4%

#4 2–5 3.4%

#5 0–4 2.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sasel1.4

Dassendorf6.7

COMBINED 8.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 98.7% · O3.5 PROB 96.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SASEL · PPG 1.87

DASSENDORF · PPG 1.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.87), Away GOOD (1.93)

Win probability 1X2

Sasel (H) 1.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 2.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dassendorf (A) 96.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sasel face Dassendorf in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sasel a 1% chance, the draw 3% and Dassendorf 96%, so Dassendorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Sasel and 6.7 for Dassendorf (8.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-5. There is a 99% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sasel are averaging 1.87 points per game versus 1.93 for Dassendorf. This match finished 0-0.

Sasel vs Dassendorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Match Preview & Prediction

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