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Germany - Regionalliga - Nord logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - Nord North - 30 Marschweg-Stadion· Oldenburg Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00
Oldenburg logo Oldenburg PPG 1.93
4-1 HIT CS4
St. Pauli B logo St. Pauli B PPG 0.85
Over3.5· +27.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 80.2%
Odds: 1.45 EV: +16.3%
Draw 11.4%
Odds: 4.33 EV: -50.6%
Away 8.5%
Odds: 5.60 EV: -52.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 82.6% Odds: 1.38 +14.0%
Over 3.5 65.6% Odds: 1.95 +27.9%
BTTS 64.8% Odds: 1.45 -6.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1
2nd 3-0
3rd 2-1
4th 4-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Oldenburg
3.38
St. Pauli B
1.11

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +14.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+27.9%)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.93), Away POOR (0.85) - Strong consensus

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