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Godoy Cruz vs Central Norte Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 22 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 19:30

Godoy Cruz

PPG 2.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Central Norte

PPG 0.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.15 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.4%0-15.7%0-21.2%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-021.2%1-19.1%1-21.9%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.8%2-17.2%2-21.5%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-08.8%3-13.8%3-20.8%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-12.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.8% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 12.1% — — —

Over 2.5 44.1% — — —

Over 3.5 24.5% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 50.1% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob46.4%

H 66% / xG 1.6-0.4 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 21.2%

#2 2–0 16.8%

#3 0–0 13.4%

#4 1–1 9.1%

#5 3–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Godoy Cruz1.6

Central Norte0.4

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.1% · O3.5 PROB 24.5%

Form & verdict PPG

GODOY CRUZ · PPG 2.20

CENTRAL NORTE · PPG 0.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.15 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Godoy Cruz (H) 65.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Central Norte (A) 12.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Godoy Cruz face Central Norte in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Godoy Cruz a 66% chance, the draw 22% and Central Norte 12%, so Godoy Cruz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Godoy Cruz and 0.4 for Central Norte (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Godoy Cruz are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 0.73 for Central Norte.

Godoy Cruz vs Central Norte Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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