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Mirassol U20 vs Ferroviária U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 8 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 18:00

Mirassol U20

PPG 0.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ferroviária U20

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.20 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-119.6%0-216.4%0-39.2%0-4+5.6%1 1-05.5%1-19.2%1-27.7%1-34.3%1-4+2.6%2 2-01.3%2-12.2%2-21.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.6%3 3-00.2%3-10.3%3-20.3%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.6% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 61.8% — — —

Over 2.5 43.6% — — —

Over 3.5 23.0% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -85.0%

Bet Hit 13%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob46.4%

A 62% / xG 0.5-1.7 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 19.6%

#2 0–2 16.4%

#3 0–0 11.7%

#4 1–1 9.2%

#5 0–3 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mirassol U200.5

Ferroviária U201.7

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MIRASSOL U20 · PPG 0.33

FERROVIÁRIA U20 · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.20 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Mirassol U20 (H) 13.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ferroviária U20 (A) 61.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mirassol U20 face Ferroviária U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mirassol U20 a 14% chance, the draw 25% and Ferroviária U20 62%, so Ferroviária U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Mirassol U20 and 1.7 for Ferroviária U20 (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mirassol U20 are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 2.33 for Ferroviária U20.

Mirassol U20 vs Ferroviária U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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