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Botafogo SP U20 vs Desportivo Brasil U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 8 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 18:00

Botafogo SP U20

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Desportivo Brasil U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.4%0-116.7%0-28.0%0-32.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.8%1-113.2%1-26.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.4%2-15.2%2-22.5%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.4%3-11.4%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.7% — — —

Draw 32.2% — — —

Away win 35.1% — — —

Over 2.5 35.9% — — —

Over 3.5 17.8% — — —

BTTS 46.6% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 28.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -85.0%

Bet Hit 13%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob46.6%

D 32% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.4%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–1 16.7%

#4 1–0 13.8%

#5 0–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Botafogo SP U200.8

Desportivo Brasil U201.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.9% · O3.5 PROB 17.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BOTAFOGO SP U20 · PPG 1.00

DESPORTIVO BRASIL U20 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.17, combined xG 1.75 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Botafogo SP U20 (H) 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Desportivo Brasil U20 (A) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Botafogo SP U20 face Desportivo Brasil U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Botafogo SP U20 a 33% chance, the draw 32% and Desportivo Brasil U20 35%, so Desportivo Brasil U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Botafogo SP U20 and 1.0 for Desportivo Brasil U20 (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Botafogo SP U20 are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Desportivo Brasil U20.

Botafogo SP U20 vs Desportivo Brasil U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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