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Santos U20 vs Portuguesa U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 8 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 18:00

Santos U20

PPG 2.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Portuguesa U20

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.58 for Home, form 2.33 vs 2.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-13.7%0-20.7%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-018.4%1-17.3%1-21.5%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-018.2%2-17.2%2-21.4%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-012.0%3-14.8%3-20.9%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-09.3%4+-13.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.3% — — —

Draw 20.5% — — —

Away win 17.2% — — —

Over 2.5 50.6% — — —

Over 3.5 31.0% — — —

BTTS 46.7% — — —

Home O1.5 55.7% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -85.0%

Bet Hit 13%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob46.7%

H 62% / xG 2.0-0.4 / U2.5 51% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 18.2%

#2 1–0 18.4%

#3 3–0 12.0%

#4 0–0 9.3%

#5 1–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Santos U202.0

Portuguesa U200.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.6% · O3.5 PROB 31.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SANTOS U20 · PPG 2.33

PORTUGUESA U20 · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.58 for Home, form 2.33 vs 2.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Santos U20 (H) 62.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Portuguesa U20 (A) 17.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Santos U20 face Portuguesa U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Santos U20 a 62% chance, the draw 21% and Portuguesa U20 17%, so Santos U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Santos U20 and 0.4 for Portuguesa U20 (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Santos U20 are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 2.00 for Portuguesa U20.

Santos U20 vs Portuguesa U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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