Today / Brazil - Paulista - U20 / Palmeiras U20 vs RB Bragantino U20

Palmeiras U20 vs RB Bragantino U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 8 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 18:00

Palmeiras U20 logo
Palmeiras U20
PPG 2.33 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
RB Bragantino U20 logo
RB Bragantino U20
PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.04 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-16.1%0-25.0%0-32.7%0-4+1.5%1 1-06.3%1-110.2%1-28.2%1-34.4%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.2%2-18.4%2-26.8%2-33.7%2-4+2.1%3 3-02.9%3-14.6%3-23.7%3-32.0%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.8%4+-22.2%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 41.3%
Draw 23.4%
Away win 35.3%
Over 2.5 63.7%
Over 3.5 41.4%
BTTS 63.9%
Home O1.5 53.5%
Away O1.5 49.0%

League track record

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 33%
BTTS 58%
Score Hit 42%
ROI -85.0%
Bet Hit 13%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.9%

H 41% / xG 1.7-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%
#2 2–1 8.4%
#3 1–2 8.2%
#4 2–2 6.8%
#5 0–0 3.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Palmeiras U201.7
RB Bragantino U201.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 41.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PALMEIRAS U20 · PPG 2.33

RB BRAGANTINO U20 · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

xG gap +0.04 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Palmeiras U20 (H) 41.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
RB Bragantino U20 (A) 35.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Palmeiras U20 face RB Bragantino U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Palmeiras U20 a 41% chance, the draw 23% and RB Bragantino U20 35%, so Palmeiras U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Palmeiras U20 and 1.6 for RB Bragantino U20 (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Palmeiras U20 are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 3.00 for RB Bragantino U20.

PredictVantage

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