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Porto Football U20 vs Referencia U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 8 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 13:00

Porto Football U20

PPG 0.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Referencia U20

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-028.0%0-118.0%0-25.8%0-31.2%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.6%1-111.3%1-23.6%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-05.6%2-13.6%2-21.1%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.2%3-10.8%3-20.2%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.2% — — —

Draw 34.1% — — —

Away win 27.8% — — —

Over 2.5 33.3% — — —

Over 3.5 13.0% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 19.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -85.0%

Bet Hit 13%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.4%

H 38% / xG 0.6-0.6 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 28.0%

#2 0–1 18.0%

#3 1–0 17.6%

#4 1–1 11.3%

#5 0–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Porto Football U200.6

Referencia U200.6

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.3% · O3.5 PROB 13.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PORTO FOOTBALL U20 · PPG 0.33

REFERENCIA U20 · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.01, combined xG 1.27 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Porto Football U20 (H) 38.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Referencia U20 (A) 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Porto Football U20 face Referencia U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Porto Football U20 a 38% chance, the draw 34% and Referencia U20 28%, so Porto Football U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Porto Football U20 and 0.6 for Referencia U20 (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Porto Football U20 are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 0.33 for Referencia U20.

Porto Football U20 vs Referencia U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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