Episentr vs Karpaty Lviv Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 24 Ternopilsky Misky Stadion· Ternopil Sunday, April 19, 2026 12:30

Episentr PPG 0.91

0-0 MISS

Karpaty Lviv PPG 1.64

Away· +6.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Episentr face Karpaty Lviv in Ukraine - Premier League on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Episentr a 26% chance, the draw 25% and Karpaty Lviv 49%, so Karpaty Lviv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Episentr and 1.6 for Karpaty Lviv (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Episentr are averaging 0.91 points per game versus 1.64 for Karpaty Lviv. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +6.9%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 26.4%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -18.2%

Draw 25.0%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -20.0%

Away 48.6%

Odds: 2.20 EV: +6.9%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.3% Odds: 2.00 +0.6%

Over 3.5 28.3% Odds: 3.55 +0.5%

BTTS 53.1% Odds: 1.73 -8.1%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Episentr

1.10

Karpaty Lviv

1.59

Model SuggestionBTTS -8.1% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5/Under 63%

BTTS/No 68%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 57% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.64) vs Home POOR (0.91)