Today / Norway - Eliteserien / Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt

Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Regular Season - 15 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 15:00

Sandefjord

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bodo/Glimt

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-113.4%0-29.5%0-34.4%0-4+2.1%1 1-09.0%1-112.6%1-28.9%1-34.2%1-4+2.0%2 2-04.2%2-16.0%2-24.2%2-32.0%2-4+0.9%3 3-01.3%3-11.9%3-21.3%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.2% 12.9% 7.75 +75.8%

Draw 26.9% 19.2% 5.20 +23.9%

Away win 43.9% 75.2% 1.33 -41.6%

Over 2.5 50.0% 72.5% 1.38 -31.0%

Over 3.5 28.7% 51.3% 1.95 -26.4%

BTTS 52.3% 63.7% 1.57 -17.9%

Home O1.5 33.8% 30.3% 3.30 +11.5%

Away O1.5 41.9% 76.9% 1.30 -45.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -14.1%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.3%

A 44% / xG 0.9-1.4 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–1 13.4%

#3 0–0 9.5%

#4 0–2 9.5%

#5 1–2 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandefjord0.9

Bodo/Glimt1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDEFJORD · PPG 1.50

BODO/GLIMT · PPG 2.00

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.47, combined xG 2.35 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sandefjord (H) 29.2%

ODDS 7.75 · IMPLIED 12.9% EV +75.8%

Draw 26.9%

ODDS 5.20 · IMPLIED 19.2% EV +23.9%

Bodo/Glimt (A) 43.9%

ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -41.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandefjord face Bodo/Glimt in Norway - Eliteserien on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandefjord a 29% chance, the draw 27% and Bodo/Glimt 44%, so Bodo/Glimt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Sandefjord and 1.4 for Bodo/Glimt (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandefjord are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.00 for Bodo/Glimt. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +54.6%.

Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - Eliteserien Predictions