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Corinthians W vs Vitória BA W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 14:00

Corinthians W

PPG 2.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Vitória BA W

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +4.14 for Home, form 2.67 vs 0.14 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-10.3%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-02.3%1-11.4%1-20.4%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-05.5%2-13.2%2-21.0%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-08.7%3-15.1%3-21.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-038.6%4+-122.7%4+-26.7%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 81.9% — — —

Draw 11.1% — — —

Away win 7.0% — — —

Over 2.5 75.4% — — —

Over 3.5 53.4% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 77.8% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -30.5%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 72%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.5%

H 82% / xG 4.7-0.6 / O2.5 75% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 10.2%

#2 5–0 9.7%

#3 3–0 8.7%

#4 4–1 6.0%

#5 5–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Corinthians W4.7

Vitória BA W0.6

COMBINED 5.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.4% · O3.5 PROB 53.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CORINTHIANS W · PPG 2.67

VITÓRIA BA W · PPG 0.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +4.14 for Home, form 2.67 vs 0.14 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Corinthians W (H) 81.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 11.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vitória BA W (A) 7.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Corinthians W face Vitória BA W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Corinthians W a 82% chance, the draw 11% and Vitória BA W 7%, so Corinthians W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.7 for Corinthians W and 0.6 for Vitória BA W (5.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Corinthians W are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 0.14 for Vitória BA W.

Corinthians W vs Vitória BA W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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