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Vitória BA W vs Botafogo W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 7 ·Friday, July 17, 2026, 18:00

Vitória BA W logo
Vitória BA W
PPG 0.50 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Botafogo W logo
Botafogo W
PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-19.9%0-25.4%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-011.9%1-113.0%1-27.0%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.8%2-18.5%2-24.6%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.4%3-13.7%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.6%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 40.9%
Draw 26.8%
Away win 32.3%
Over 2.5 51.5%
Over 3.5 32.2%
BTTS 55.5%
Home O1.5 41.1%
Away O1.5 36.2%

League track record

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5 51%
BTTS 60%
Score Hit 46%
ROI -33.0%
Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.5%

H 41% / xG 1.3-1.1 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%
#2 0–0 9.1%
#3 1–0 11.9%
#4 2–1 8.5%
#5 0–1 9.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vitória BA W1.3
Botafogo W1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VITÓRIA BA W · PPG 0.50

BOTAFOGO W · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Vitória BA W (H) 40.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Botafogo W (A) 32.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vitória BA W face Botafogo W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Friday, July 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vitória BA W a 41% chance, the draw 27% and Botafogo W 32%, so Vitória BA W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Vitória BA W and 1.1 for Botafogo W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vitória BA W are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.00 for Botafogo W.

PredictVantage

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